26 October 2018

BORAS Blowout 2018/19: Right Field

Catcher | 1B | 2B | SS | 3B | LF | CF | RF | DH | SP

Just chopping some wood, clearing out the BORAS modeling projections.  Here is right field:
Years Total (MM)
Jose Bautista Invite
Melky Cabrera 1 7.7
Lonnie Chisenhall 3 31.5
Curtis Granderson 1 11
Carlos Gomez 1 8.1
Carlos Gonzalez 2 14.5
Brandon Guyer 1 7.3
Bryce Harper 7 138.6
Jason Heyward 2 22.4
Matt Joyce 1 11
Nick Markakis 2 17.6
Andrew McCutchen 3 45.6
Hunter Pence Invite
Yasmany Tomas 4 46.4
BORAS model really thinks Bryce Harper will get a fairly underwhelming deal in comparison to the murmurings of a 400 MM contract for the past few years.  Some thought the 10/250 Manny projection felt light and, well, a Harper deal of seven years just shy of a 20 MM annual value will result in some tsk-tsking.  Regardless, while he has shown glimmers of brilliance, he also seems to have some shortcomings that undermine that value.

A second interesting note is that BORAS thinks Adam Jones is more valuable than Nick Markakis.  I think a lot of folks will disagree with that.  I ran an unscientific twitter poll a while back and four to one think Markakis will see a better pay day.

My last thought is on Yasmany Tomas, who will not opt out of his deal.  That said, 4/46.4 would not be happening for him.

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