27 June 2013

Strikezone Analysis for June 24 - 26: Indians at Orioles

Series Thoughts

Here's a situation where a series' numbers don't necessarily match what's seen on the field. Overall, it was a cleanly called series with 3/4 games seeing better than 90% correct calls for the Rzone. On the other hand, there were some truly atrocious pitches - either pitches outside of the Tzone called strikes or pitches within the Rzone called balls. I don't think it's reasonable to expect perfection from an umpire, especially on borderline pitches, but on these types of obvious pitches, I don't think it's unreasonable to expect the umpire to be close to 100%.

Game details after the jump.

June 24, 2013: Orioles - 2, Indians - 5

Welcome back, Mr. Britton. Also, it was nice to see Barry Scott get the Rzone correct calls up above 90%. After the Toronto series, it was nice to see that was still possible. But still, there were a lot of balls called strikes and that's very frustrating.

Barry, Scott Real % of
Total
% of
Chances
Typical % of
Total
% of
Chances
Correct Calls 171 90.48% 165 87.30%
Incorrect Calls 18 9.52% 24 12.70%
Ball Called Ball 111 58.73% 93.28% 100 52.91% 97.09%
Strike Called Strike 60 31.75% 85.71% 65 34.39% 75.58%
Strike Called Ball 10 5.29% 14.29% 21 11.11% 24.42%
Ball Called Strike 8 4.23% 6.72% 3 1.59% 2.91%
Borderline - Balls 27 14.29% 57.45%
Borderline - Strikes 20 10.58% 42.55%
Baltimore Orioles Real % of
Team
% of
Chances
Typical % of
Team
% of
Chances
Ball Called Ball 64 61.54% 94.12% 57 54.81% 98.28%
Strike Called Strike 33 31.73% 91.67% 36 34.62% 78.26%
Strike Called Ball 3 2.88% 8.33% 10 9.62% 21.74%
Ball Called Strike 4 3.85% 5.88% 1 0.96% 1.72%
Borderline Pitches 47 26.86%
Borderline - Balls 14 51.85%
Borderline - Strikes 13 48.15%
Calls in Favor 11 5.82% 12 6.35%
Calls Against 7 3.70% 12 6.35%
Cleveland Indians Real % of
Team
% of
Chances
Typical % of
Team
% of
Chances
Ball Called Ball 47 55.29% 92.16% 43 50.59% 95.56%
Strike Called Strike 27 31.76% 79.41% 29 34.12% 72.50%
Strike Called Ball 7 8.24% 20.59% 11 12.94% 27.50%
Ball Called Strike 4 4.71% 7.84% 2 2.35% 4.44%
Borderline Pitches 36 31.54%
Borderline - Balls 13 65.00%
Borderline - Strikes 7 35.00%
Calls in Favor 7 3.70% 12 6.35%
Calls Against 11 5.82% 12 6.35%

June 25, 2013: Orioles - 6, Indians - 3

A very high zone. It's unusual to see three pitches above the zone called strikes. On the other hand, unfortunately it hasn't been too unusual lately to see pitches right over the plate called balls by the umpire.

DiMuro, Mike Real % of
Total
% of
Chances
  Typical % of
Total
% of
Chances
Ball Called Ball 123 87.86%     118 84.29%  
Strike Called Strike 17 12.14%     22 15.71%  
Strike Called Ball 89 63.57% 90.82%   78 55.71% 96.30%
Ball Called Strike 34 24.29% 80.95%   40 28.57% 67.80%
Strikes Called Balls 8 5.71% 19.05%   19 13.57% 32.20%
Balls Called Strikes 9 6.43% 9.18%   3 2.14% 3.70%
Borderline - Balls 12 8.57% 44.44%        
Borderline - Strikes 15 10.71% 55.56%        
               
Baltimore Orioles Real % of
Team
% of
Chances
  Typical % of
Team
% of
Chances
Ball Called Ball 49 63.64% 89.09%   45 58.44% 95.74%
Strike Called Strike 18 23.38% 81.82%   22 28.57% 73.33%
Strike Called Ball 4 5.19% 18.18%   8 10.39% 26.67%
Ball Called Strike 6 7.79% 10.91%   2 2.60% 4.26%
Borderline Pitches 35 27.13%          
Borderline - Balls 6 40.00%          
Borderline - Strikes 9 60.00%          
Calls in Favor 10   7.14%   13   9.29%
Calls Against 7   5.00%   9   6.43%
               
Cleveland Indians Real % of
Team
% of
Chances
  Typical % of
Team
% of
Chances
Ball Called Ball 40 63.49% 93.02%   33 52.38% 97.06%
Strike Called Strike 16 25.40% 80.00%   18 28.57% 62.07%
Strike Called Ball 4 6.35% 20.00%   11 17.46% 37.93%
Ball Called Strike 3 4.76% 6.98%   1 1.59% 2.94%
Borderline Pitches 26 30.17%          
Borderline - Balls 6 50.00%          
Borderline - Strikes 6 50.00%          
Calls in Favor 7   5.00%   9   6.43%
Calls Against 10   7.14%   13   9.29%


June 26, 2013: Orioles - 3, Indians - 4

I have to say, I'm not on board with the plan of having a non-lockdown closer. Other than that, there were some absolutely atrocious calls in Cleveland's favor on the inside corner to RHB. In general, a cleanly called game.

Barrett, Ted Real % of
Total
% of
Chances
  Typical % of
Total
% of
Chances
Ball Called Ball 131 91.61%     129 90.21%  
Strike Called Strike 12 8.39%     14 9.79%  
Strike Called Ball 98 68.53% 90.74%   88 61.54% 97.78%
Ball Called Strike 33 23.08% 94.29%   41 28.67% 77.36%
Strikes Called Balls 2 1.40% 5.71%   12 8.39% 22.64%
Balls Called Strikes 10 6.99% 9.26%   2 1.40% 2.22%
Borderline - Balls 14 9.79% 48.28%        
Borderline - Strikes 15 10.49% 51.72%        
               
Baltimore Orioles Real % of
Team
% of
Chances
  Typical % of
Team
% of
Chances
Ball Called Ball 61 73.49% 96.83%   56 67.47% 98.25%
Strike Called Strike 19 22.89% 95.00%   20 24.10% 76.92%
Strike Called Ball 1 1.20% 5.00%   6 7.23% 23.08%
Ball Called Strike 2 2.41% 3.17%   1 1.20% 1.75%
Borderline Pitches 30 20.55%          
Borderline - Balls 6 42.86%          
Borderline - Strikes 8 57.14%          
Calls in Favor 3   2.10%   7   4.90%
Calls Against 9   6.29%   7   4.90%
               
Cleveland Indians Real % of
Team
% of
Chances
  Typical % of
Team
% of
Chances
Ball Called Ball 37 61.67% 82.22%   32 53.33% 96.97%
Strike Called Strike 14 23.33% 93.33%   21 35.00% 77.78%
Strike Called Ball 1 1.67% 6.67%   6 10.00% 22.22%
Ball Called Strike 8 13.33% 17.78%   1 1.67% 3.03%
Borderline Pitches 35 25.86%          
Borderline - Balls 8 53.33%          
Borderline - Strikes 7 46.67%          
Calls in Favor 9   6.29%   7   4.90%
Calls Against 3   2.10%   7   4.90%

June 27, 2013: Orioles - 7, Indians - 3

More trouble with the umpires, but not from the strikezone. Manny Machado and Adam Jones had some shenanigans with the local men in blue. Regarding the play at 2B with Adam Jones, it appeared that the umpire signaled 'safe', but did not make the call. Jones was looking at the 2B, to make sure he broke up the play and didn't get stepped on; there was no chance of seeing the umpire make the call. The Indians certainly weren't going to help him out and tell him to stay on the bag. In my opinion, it's not something to get too upset about with Jones.

Little, Will Real % of
Total
% of
Chances
  Typical % of
Total
% of
Chances
Ball Called Ball 130 92.20%     123 87.23%  
Strike Called Strike 11 7.80%     18 12.77%  
Strike Called Ball 83 58.87% 94.32%   71 50.35% 100.00%
Ball Called Strike 47 33.33% 88.68%   52 36.88% 74.29%
Strikes Called Balls 6 4.26% 11.32%   18 12.77% 25.71%
Balls Called Strikes 5 3.55% 5.68%   0 0.00% 0.00%
Borderline - Balls 19 13.48% 50.00%        
Borderline - Strikes 19 13.48% 50.00%        
               
Baltimore Orioles Real % of
Team
% of
Chances
  Typical % of
Team
% of
Chances
Ball Called Ball 37 56.92% 92.50%   30 46.15% 100.00%
Strike Called Strike 23 35.38% 92.00%   26 40.00% 74.29%
Strike Called Ball 2 3.08% 8.00%   9 13.85% 25.71%
Ball Called Strike 3 4.62% 7.50%   0 0.00% 0.00%
Borderline Pitches 33 24.09%          
Borderline - Balls 11 52.38%          
Borderline - Strikes 10 47.62%          
Calls in Favor 7   4.96%   9   6.38%
Calls Against 4   2.84%   9   6.38%
               
Cleveland Indians Real % of
Team
% of
Chances
  Typical % of
Team
% of
Chances
Ball Called Ball 46 60.53% 95.83%   41 53.95% 100.00%
Strike Called Strike 24 31.58% 85.71%   26 34.21% 74.29%
Strike Called Ball 4 5.26% 14.29%   9 11.84% 25.71%
Ball Called Strike 2 2.63% 4.17%   0 0.00% 0.00%
Borderline Pitches 44 23.57%          
Borderline - Balls 8 47.06%          
Borderline - Strikes 9 52.94%          
Calls in Favor 4   2.84%   9   6.38%
Calls Against 7   4.96%   9   6.38%


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