Showing posts with label bobby bundy. Show all posts
Showing posts with label bobby bundy. Show all posts

05 April 2016

Jeff Passan's The Arm (Part I) And Dylan Bundy


For Bundy Bash, I thought it was apropos to discuss Jeff Passan's new book, The Arm: Inside the billion-dollar mystery of the most valuable commodity in sports, which is released today.  This book is a rather important collection of information that anyone who has considered throwing a game or having their kid throw a game should read.  The book is short on answers, but does well to describe the problem of arm injuries and how so many approaches have failed as well as how slowly but surely progress is being made.  Passan focuses primarily on ligament replacement, but also expands on that a little when he addresses bone injuries to children. 

This post is the first of three review posts on the book and will tie into the framework of today's Dylan Bundy Bash.  This entry will introduce you to the personal toll experienced by pitchers, like Dylan Bundy, who undergo Tommy John surgery.  It is more than a simple slice and dice, drilling out bone, and tying up some tissues to form a new ligament in the elbow.  The pain is more felt in the weeks and months afterward.  The numbness in the fingers, the slow rehabilitation as arm comes together, and the amazing self-discipline needed to maintain the schedule (even though the schedule differs team to team and is not exactly based on anything other than anecdotes and experience).

Now, Passan did not have the luxury of following Dylan Bundy on his ups and downs in the rehabilitation process.  However, he follows perpetual underdog Todd Coffey and local wonder Daniel Hudson.  While the two differ in pedigree and organizational faith, they share a common bond.  They both were trying to do something few have done: return from a second torn ligament.  This was not planned.  While Passan recruited Coffey in order to follow a second time through a rehab, Hudson was included in order to follow a player on his way back and working through the minors until he was able to stand on that mound again in front of 40,000 fans.  It did not turn out that way; Hudson tore his ligament on his first minor league outing and Passan had a second case of a second ligament replacement recoveree to follow. 

While most fans know of Tommy John as a pitcher being shut down and typically returning a year later, the time between surgery and return is more of a black box.  Passan peeks into that box and describes to the reader how individuals in a highly competitive field try to cope with being unable to do much of anything.  Hudson becomes irate watching his Diamondbacks lose.  He tucks into his depression by obsessively playing video games, but does not give himself the pleasure (or pain) of pitching in The Show.  Instead, he plays as a shortstop.  For Coffey, he dives down into extreme thriftiness by collecting coupons and going to flea markets.  They and their families both learn to deal with how to handle the physical and mental aspects of rehabilitation.

We can imagine the struggle it was for Dylan Bundy.  He was one of the best pitching prospects in the game.  He was on the threshold of an MLB starting rotation gig.  He trained his entire life to achieve that.  And, he had to wait.  And, he hopefully did what he was told.

Dylan Bundy gets a couple pages in the book as an example of another attempt to condition the body to prevent arm injuries that winds up not working out.  Bundy is noted as an atypical high school student.  Him and his father, Denver, had worked together on Dylan since he was six years old to have incredible core strength through hard labor and challenging workout sessions in the training room.  He also loosened up while throwing 300 feet in the outfield.  While much of the chatter his senior year before the draft was about his physique and a conventional wisdom-y reasonable workload, his less-talked-about junior year was not the case.

The most impressive, maybe foolish, feat Bundy achieved in varsity baseball was when he pitched twice in a day during his junior year.  In those two games on a Saturday, he threw 181 pitches.  At the time his father told the press:
"No, I don't regret letting him go 181 pitches. We trained for that number of pitches. (However), we didn't train for such a long delay between the two games. That wasn't good."
Two items that were not covered in the book are make Dylan's case slightly more interesting.  His brother, Bobby, was also drafted by the Orioles.  He was considered less talented than Dylan, but was still valued enough for the Orioles to throw a good bit of over-slot money his way.  His varsity baseball feat was pitching 13 innings and tallying up 163 pitches.  With Bobby as the first generation prototype for Denver Bundy to create the perfect pitcher, Dylan's greater ability likely led him and Denver to push the envelope further and beyond what even his father said he was not exactly comfortable with.

The second aspect of that Saturday pitch count was that the book might be isolating that effort a bit too much.  In fact, that 181-pitch effort was done on two days rest.  He had thrown 112 pitches in his start before that.  In other words, over the course of four days, Dylan threw 293 official pitches over three games.  This does not include warm-ups or getting loose between innings.  Again, as this book indicates, we really do not know whether this was a smart or reasonable thing to do.  At the time, some folks in the Oklahoma baseball scene were aghast. 

That concern, again, was not mentioned all that often leading up to Baltimore drafting him.  Once in the Orioles' system, his workload looked drastically different.  He would go up to nine days without pitching in a game and was limited early on to 40 pitches in an outing.  Dan Duquette's response was that the club was implementing a regimen to get Dylan familiar to what would be expected of him as a major league pitcher.  Basically, the club was starting all over with him.  For better or worse, he ended up needing Tommy John surgery and lost about three years of development time.  It might be worthwhile to note that his brother Bobby has also had his career sidetracked by arm injuries.

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The Arm: Inside the Billion Dollar Mystery of the Most Valuable Commodity in Sports
by Jeff Passan
368 pp

21 November 2011

2012 Top 25 Prospects: #4 Bobby Bundy (rhp)

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Player: Robert "Bobby" Bundy
Position: right-handed pitcher
Ht/Wt: 6-2/215
B/T: R/R
Age at 11/2011: 21y11m
2011 level(s): Advanced-A Frederick; Double-A Bowie
2011 statistics: Baseball-reference; Minor League Central

Grades - Now (Future):
Motion: 45/50 (55)
Fastball: 45/50 (55)
Curveball: 40/45 (55/60)
Slider: 40/45 (50)
Change: 35/40 (50)
Control: 45/50 (50/55)
Command: 35/40 (50)
Feel: 40 (50)
Overall Future Potential: 51-56
Prospect Grade: B

*Click here for primer on Grades

Background:
Drafted in the 8th Round of the 2008 Draft, out of Sperry High School (Sperry, Okla.), and signed for overslot bonus of $600,000. Top 100 talent that dropped in the draft in large part due to knee injury during basketball season. Played his senior year with younger brother Dylan Bundy(rhp), who subsquently transfered to Owasso HS (Owasso, Okla.) and was the fourth overall selection in the 2011 Draft, also by Baltimore. Bobby spent 2011 as a starter for the Frederick Keys (Advanced-A, Baltimore system) before finishing the season at Bowie (Double-A, Baltimore system).

Physical Description:
Strong, workhorse build on broad, athletic frame. Thick throughout, with even distribution. Solid athleticism and body control. Moves reasonably well off of mound.

Motion:
Long arm action on the backside creates an inconsistent launch point as Bundy begins to rotate through. It is possible this could be addressed through utilization of a straight drop arm to begin his arm circle, as opposed to his current approach of swinging into it. In any event, it is an issue that development staff will likely address. The rest of his mechanics are generally uniform and repeatable, with a smooth plant and follow. The result is solid control but an inability to consistently hit his spots within the zone. His three-quarters slot works well for all four of his offerings, and there is obvious athleticism in his actions.

Stuff:
Fastball - Upper-80s to low-90s heavy heater that can run in to righties, as well. Will flatten up in the zone some, and Bundy isn't as precise with the pitch as he will need to be in order to reach his mid-rotation ceiling.

Curve - Power breaker that will flash plus on a 12-to-6 trajectory, but can grade as low as below-average when he loses his release. The inconsistencies in this pitch are likely a direct result of his varying launch points.

Slider - Like his curve, Bundy's slider is plagued by inconsistencies due to his issues with repeating his release point. At it's best, it can be an average to slightly above-average pitch right now and pairs well with his sinking fastball when he is able to keep it down in the zone.

Change-up - While Bundy has grown his offspeed since his high school days, it still remains the weakest of his offerings and leaves him without a suitable weapon for handling lefties.

Discussion:
Bundy has made steady progress through the Orioles system, and 2011 served as a breakout year for the righty from a production standpoint. A likely unsustainably low BABIP against left-handed hitters (.267 against lefties; .313 against righties) kept his left/right splits more balanced than they should have been. Even then, lefites out OPSed righties to tune of the following slash lines: .221/.313/.392/.705 against lefties; .263/.317/.375/.692 against righties. Perhaps most telling, Bundy's SO/BB ratio against lefties (1.81) is less than half of that against righties (4.27).

The good news is that Bundy's issues appear to be fairly easy to identify. In order for his command in the zone to increase, and the consistency of his secondaries to increase, Bundy will need to find a way to hit is backside checkpoints more consistently. The second glaring weakness is his lack of a consistent weapon with which to attack lefties. His change-up is improving, and provided he is able to clean-up the backside of his arm action some, he should have little trouble growing it into at least an average offering. Further, improved command and execution of his secondaries will lead to more missed bats, as it will lead to fewer spots missed and more frequent effective showings of his power curve and slider.

As a 21-year old in Advanced-A ball, Bundy put together a very strong year. As encouraging as his final stat line was, the fact that he cruised through the season with very few issues until his late season promotion to Bowie is cause for great optimism. The only real hiccup was his June, which included five starts and an FIP of over 5 (as opposed to his April, May and July of 1.36, 3.59 and 3.11, respectively). He reached 136 innings pitched in 2011 and is poised to break the 150 innings threshold in 2012. He projects as a durable 200-plus innings eater with a chance for two above-average pitches and four usable Major League offerings. If his command and his secondaries do not improve over the next two seasons, he still has value as a swing man or a middle-reliever that could bump the mid-90s in shorter stints.

Ceiling: #3 starter on first division team
Floor: Middle-reliever/swingman
Projected: #4 starter on first division team