11 August 2012

Who Gets In? (8/11/2012)

I put in a different column this week.  As mentioned before, I have been using season long fWAR to project future performance.  The idea is that perhaps fWAR is a better metric to use for a projection than simple runs scored and runs given.  The new column (p30) uses fWAR from the past 30 days to project future performance.  I do not know if it is a better way to do things or not.  Regardless, both methods are utilizing a descriptive statistic as the basis for projecting performance.

Team Wins Proj. Wins Total * p30 Proj
NYY  66 30 96 East 96
TEX  65 30 95 West 89
CHW  61 26 87 WC 84
 BAL  61 21 82 5 GB 84
 DET  61 27 88 Central 90
 OAK  60 24 84 3 GB 88
 TBR  60 25 85 2 GB 89
 LAA  60 27 87 WC 88
 BOS  56 25 81 6 GB 78
 TOR  53 23 76 11 GB 74
 CLE  52 21 73 14 GB 68
 SEA  51 21 72 15 GB 75
 MIN  49 22 71 16 GB 76
 KCR  48 23 71 16 GB 72
To emphasize the AL East:

Team Proj Win
NYY  30
TBR 25
BOS 25
 TOR 23
 BAL 21



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