Showing posts with label Winter Leagues. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Winter Leagues. Show all posts

10 October 2013

Orioles in the Winter Leagues: AFL Pitchers

In a series of posts, we will go through the different leagues that the Orioles organization is involved.
  • Arizona Fall League: Position Players (10/8)
  • Arizona Fall League: Pitchers (10/10)
  • Venezuela Winter League (10/15)
  • Mexican Pacific League and the Dominican Winter League (10/17)
  • Australian Baseball League (10/22)
Arizona Fall League

The goal of the Arizona Fall League was for Baseball to devise a league where prospects could get more experience while being closer under the eye of their parent organizations as opposed to being spread out overseas.  This enables a club to provide training and game day oversight.  Concerns before the AFL included having an upper minors player be overworked on the mound or find himself in completely new positions that have no bearing on how the parent club projects his future.  Typically, the players found in this league are up-and-coming prospects in the high minors.  It is a mix of solid prospects and guys who might just find themselves exposed in the Rule 5 Draft.

The Orioles send players to the Surprise Saguaros along with the Boston Red Sox, Cleveland Indians, Milwaukee Brewers, and Texas Rangers.  Bowie manager Gary Kendall and Aberdeen pitching coach Alan Mills will be overseeing the squad, which includes other teams' notable prospects: Taylor Jungman (MIL), Garin Cecchini (BOS), Ryan Rua (TEX), and Tony Wolters (CLE).  You can find all of the information you need about the AFL at their home page here.

In this post, we'll briefly focus on the pitchers who the Orioles sent to Surprise:
  • Branden Kline, RHSP
  • Jason Gurka, LHRP
  • Eduardo Rodriguez, LHSP
  • Tim Berry, LHSP
Branden Kline, RHSP
22 yo (9/29/1991)
B/T: R/R

YearAgeTmLgLevERAGGSIPH/9HR/9BB/9SO/9
201220AberdeenNYPLA-4.504412.09.00.83.09.0
201321DelmarvaSALLA5.867735.110.41.03.68.2
Provided by Baseball-Reference.com: View Original Table
Generated 10/9/2013.

The Orioles followed Kline for years through his high school and college days.  The selected him in the second round of the 2012 draft.  As with basically any second rounder, there were questions.  The Orioles like him as a starter as well as others who saw that he still had some room on his frame and a delivery that could be improved.  His fastball from the bullpen sat around 94 mph, but dropped to 90 mph as a starter his Junior year.  It is a little flat, so that would pose problems as a MLB starter.  As a reliever though, the fastball with its higher velocity would work well with a very promising slider.

Kline's stuff played decently in the low minors, but, as feared, he was certainly hittable.  He also had little time to work on his performance due to a freak injury where he fractured his lower leg during a training drill.  When healthy, he was showing a mid 90s fastball as a starter, which is quite promising.  The jury is still out on whether or not he can make his change up into a serviceable show me pitch.

In Arizona, he needs as many innings as he can find to help work through his repertoire.  He can nearly double his year inning total with another 20-30 innings.  He will find himself facing off against better competition than he had been seeing in Delmarva.  A solid showing here as well as a good Spring could position him in Frederick when the year begins.  That, however, might be pretty optimistic.

Jason Gurka, LHRP
25 yo (1/10/1988)
B/T: L/L

YearAgeTmLgLevERAGGSIPH/9HR/9BB/9SO/9
200820BluefieldAPPYRk9.00203.015.03.00.015.0
201022AberdeenNYPLA-4.9322038.16.30.94.510.8
2011232 Teams2 LgsA+-A2.8733053.17.91.01.911.3
2012242 Teams2 LgsA+-AA2.6232165.16.80.63.39.0
201325BowieELAA2.9520039.27.90.54.110.4
Provided by Baseball-Reference.com: View Original Table
Generated 10/9/2013.

Gurka was drafted by the Orioles in the 2008 draft in the 15th round.  He was not a notable prospect at the time, but through the years he has shown an ability to be an effective relief pitcher.  It should be noted as a JuCo and with injuries, he has been progressing through the minors as one of the older members of the teams he has been on.  When you are reviewing a minor league player, starting pitching and position players are individuals where age class can be a concern.  With a relief pitcher, this is not a great concern as this kind of scenario may mean you still have a usable middle reliever.

This season saw Gurka perform well out of the blocks, but found himself on the DL in the middle of June and then out for the rest of the year beginning in mid-July.  He did show that his two seamer and a slider/curve could work at the AA level quite well.  He will be quite dependent on his two seamer for future success though.  That bears some concern in that two seam pitchers tend to be hit more and more as a pitcher faces better hitters who tend not to chase balls tumbling below the strike zone as much.

Arizona is going to be a period of evaluation for Gurka on two points.  Point one: Gurka is eligible for the Rule 5 draft, so he may be fixing himself a spot on the 40 man roster.  Point two: If the front office likes what they see, Gurka may provide them more comfort in seeing what they could acquire in a trade using LHP Brian Matusz whose arbitration figures have been reported by several outlets as a concern.

Eduardo Rodriguez, LHSP
Age 20 (4/7/1993)
B/T: L/L

YearAgeTmLgLevERAGGSIPH/9HR/9BB/9SO/9
201017Orioles 1DOSLFRk2.33121265.26.70.03.88.5
2011182 Teams2 LgsRk-A-2.22121148.26.30.23.39.2
201118OriolesGULFRk1.81111044.25.60.03.49.3
201118AberdeenNYPLA-6.75114.013.52.22.29.0
201219DelmarvaSALLA3.702222107.08.70.32.56.1
2013202 Teams2 LgsA+-AA3.412525145.08.10.63.07.8
Provided by Baseball-Reference.com: View Original Table
Generated 10/9/2013.

Eduardo Rodriguez is one of the team's premier free agent signees who carried a 175k signing bonus.  He was considered a second or third tier amateur arm as a guy with promising stuff and some hope.  In his first year with the team, the Orioles saw a lefty with decent command who could nail batters with a tailing upper 80s fastball and an inconsistent breaking ball.  That kind of pitcher does well in the low minors, but struggles as he moves up.  Without playable velocity or a couple additional plus pitches, I had doubts.

In 2012, Rodriguez filled out a little bit and began working in the low 90s.  A change of 5 mph is incredibly consequential for a pitcher.  The velocity and improved repetition resulted in a slider and change up that could be plus pitches.  That success brought more success in Frederick this past season and earned him a mid-year promotion to Bowie, which was not poor though not incredibly successful.  However, it was pretty phenomenal considering he was 20.

In Arizona, the expectation is that Rodriguez will not see much time as a starting pitcher having already logged 145 innings.  He will continue to get instruction from the team, overseen with his training, and face some advanced hitters.  I doubt he is in the conversation for a promotion before mid-year.  Of course, I had doubts about Gausman being promoted so quickly.  There are always surprises.

Tim Berry, LHSP
Age 22 (3/18/1991)
B/T: L/L

YearAgeTmLgLevERAGGSIPH/9HR/9BB/9SO/9
201019OriolesGULFRk1.3514020.05.80.06.310.4
201120DelmarvaSALLA5.172626116.28.30.84.77.4
2012213 Teams3 LgsA+-A-AA5.042624128.210.50.62.77.6
201322FrederickCARLA+3.852727152.09.20.82.47.0
Provided by Baseball-Reference.com: View Original Table
Generated 10/9/2013.

Berry might well be the best selection in the Orioles 2009 draft.  He was one of what seemed like a typical Joe Jordan drafting, an injured player who had shown promise.  At 125k, he was less of an investment than another 2009 draftee Cameron Coffey who signed on at 990k and also needed Tommy John surgery.  However, Berry came back and threw well while Coffey never showed what he did as a prep and was released this past Spring Training.  While Berry did throw well, his performance never matched what he looked like on the field.

In 2013, Berry faced a big challenge in proving himself to the organization.  He showed more consistency in his three pitch mix that features an average fastball that dials up into the mid-90s along with an average change up and a flashy plus curve ball.  However, there are some concerns.  His low walk rate is largely a product of his stuff being good enough in HiA ball to challenge hitters straight up.  He'll need a little more velocity and/or further refinement of his secondaries to keep batters off guard if he his style continues to do that.  Otherwise, he'll need to command his pitches in the bottom third of the strike zone, which has been something he has not excelled at.

Similar to Rodriguez, Berry has tallied a great number of innings for a young pitcher with 152 in the books.  Expectation is that he'll throw a couple times, but the experience is more about him being in the Spring Training facility, work to get more weight on his frame, and have the lessons of being a professional more fully engrained.

08 October 2013

Orioles in the Winter Leagues: Orioles AFL Position Players



It used to be a common thing.  After a long season, a ball player would look for extra sharpening of his skills, maybe a little extra money in his pocket, or perhaps enjoy the thrill of playing in his home country.  As the money crept up, players began to value rest more and teams preferred to try to have their players train the way they wanted them to train.  As such, the Winter Leagues have cratered from their heyday with such historic leagues as the Puerto Rican Winter League having to reduce their operations or even go into hiatus.  They are still around, but maybe not as competitive as they once were.  In addition to those leagues, MLB has established their own which take on much more of an instructional tone and are designed to give players more experience.


In a series of posts, we will go through the different leagues that the Orioles organization is involved.
  • Arizona Fall League: Position Players
  • Arizona Fall League: Pitchers
  • Venezuela Winter League (10/15)
  • Mexican Pacific League and the Dominican Winter League (10/17)
  • Australian Baseball League (10/22)
Arizona Fall League

The goal of the Arizona Fall League was for Baseball to devise a league where prospects could get more experience while being closer under the eye of their parent organizations as opposed to being spread out overseas.  This enables a club to provide training and game day oversight.  Concerns before the AFL included having an upper minors player be overworked on the mound or find himself in completely new positions that have no bearing on how the parent club projects his future.  Typically, the players found in this league are up-and-coming prospects in the high minors.  It is a mix of solid prospects and guys who might just find themselves exposed in the Rule 5 Draft.

The Orioles send players to the Surprise Saguaros along with the Boston Red Sox, Cleveland Indians, Milwaukee Brewers, and Texas Rangers.  Bowie manager Gary Kendall and Aberdeen pitching coach Alan Mills will be overseeing the squad, which includes other teams' notable prospects: Taylor Jungman (MIL), Garin Cecchini (BOS), Ryan Rua (TEX), and Tony Wolters (CLE).  You can find all of the information you need about the AFL at their home page here.

In this post, we'll briefly focus on the position players that the Orioles are sending.  The collection of players they are sending this year falls fully in the need-more-playing-time camp.  They include:
In order, Ohlman needs help with defense, Schoop was injured and needs more playing time, and the Cuban players (i.e., Urrutia, Alvarez) had issues with Visas and need more playing time.  It may well be that what the team sees with the latter three could impact how they proceed in the offseason with trades and signings for second base and left field.

Michael Ohlman, catcher
22 yo (12/14/1990)
B/T: R/R

YearAgeTmLevPA2B3BHRSBCSBBSOBAOBPSLG
200918OriolesRk121001013.182.250.273
2010192 TeamsRk-A3011412303386.208.302.293
201120DelmarvaA4311524124896.224.320.307
2012212 TeamsA-Rk2401923113537.300.400.460
201322FrederickA+42429413505693.313.410.524
Provided by Baseball-Reference.com: View Original Table
Generated 10/8/2013.

Ohlman was one of the bonus babies back in the somewhat infamous draft where Joe Jordan selected Matt Hobgood over Zack Wheeler and explained it as a belief in Hobgood's character over Wheeler's potential.  Ohlman was a selection in the 11th round who fell due to signability concerns.  He profiled as a catcher or corner outfielder depending on how his mechanics behind the plate cleaned up.  Ohlman's loud tool was his power which was considered plus to plus-plus.  The concern there was that he had some recognition issues.

2010 and 2011 were such difficult years for Ohlman with his defense very much a work in progress and his power not showing up in games that he fell off the radar for more talent evaluators.  Last year, however, illustrated that he could bump up her contact rate and showed some secondary power.  This season, he moved up a level and maintained that contact rate as well as his walk rate.  Even more impressive is that a good number of those doubles turned into home runs.

With his bat breaking out, his defensive position is holding him back.  This is similar to his old North Carolina teammate, Wil Myers.  In Myers' case, his bat was so advanced that the Royals decided that they should not wait to see if they could teach him to have MLB quality catching skills.  Now, Ohlman's bat is not equivalent to Myers', but the Orioles may face a decision like this may shake down this winter, spring, or summer.  Arizona will help provide some information to answer that question.

Jonathan Schoop, second baseman
21 yo (10/16/1991)
B/T: R/R

YearAgeTmLevPA2B3BHRSBCSBBSOBAOBPSLG
200917OriolesFRk2847301132439.239.320.291
2010183 TeamsRk-A+2401815112025.290.350.453
2011192 TeamsA+-A567245131274276.290.349.432
201220BowieAA555241145350103.245.324.386
2013213 TeamsAAA-Rk-A-33614014132062.278.330.460
201321BaltimoreMLB150010012.286.333.500
Provided by Baseball-Reference.com: View Original Table
Generated 10/8/2013.

Schoop worked himself in as a fringe top 100 prospect from his impressive performances in 2010 and 2011 as one of the youngest players in those leagues.  That shine wore off a little bit while in Bowie and Norfolk as he struggled this year and last (his 2013 MiL numbers are buoyed by dominating low minors pitching during an injury rehabilitation assignment).  Added to the troubles this season was an injury that left him about 120 plate appearances short of a full season.

Schoop was then called up to the majors to bum around with the parent club and learn through osmosis.  He managed to find himself in a few games and took advantage of a few poor pitches.  His .833 OPS looks better than it actually was in those 15 plate appearances, but gives a lot of hope as he is still short of his 22nd birthday.

Arizona will help determine a primary concern for Schoop's future: where will he play?  Is he going to be able to cut it at second base?  If Machado is now a third baseman, then is Schoop better suited in right field as an eventual replacement for Nick Markakis?

Henry Urrutia, outfielder
26 yo (2/13/1987)
B/T: L/R

YearAgeTmLevPA2B3BHRSBCSBBSOBAOBPSLGOPS
201326BaltimoreMLB5801000011.276.276.506.310
201326BowieAA2241607112436.365.433.550.983
201326NorfolkAAA12351200815.316.358.430.788
Provided by Baseball-Reference.com: View Original Table
Generated 10/8/2013.

Urrutia was the first Cuban amateur signed by the Baltimore Orioles.  He was largely glossed over by other teams as a player who had filled out (aka no projection) with average contact skills and power.  His defensive acumen was described as fitting into right field, but in no way glowing.  As such, he was considered by most a fringe MLB player who stood at a disadvantage having sat out for an entire year in Cuba due to a failed defection attempt.  Once signing with the Orioles, things did not improve much because visa issues delayed his arrival another year before he was able to take part in a professional league.

Once able to play, AA pitchers beware.  Urrutia showed great gap to gap power and a good understanding of strike zone.  He also imparted on observers that his outfield defensive play is pretty atrocious.  As the Major League club suffered through one of the worst team designated hitters performances in the history of the position, Urrutia was promoted.  Once arriving, he maintained his poor defense, but his hitting reverted to slap grounders scooting between the third baseman and shortstop.

Arizona will see him work on his hitting and figuring out if he can truly be an outfielder.  As a designated hitter, his bat will need to improve upon what he accomplished last year in the minors and transfer over to the MLB level.

Dariel Alvarez, outfielder
24 yo (11/7/1988)
B/T: R/R

YearAgeTmLevPA2B3BHRSBCSBBSOBAOBPSLG
2013243 TeamsA+-AA-Rk8341412411.342.373.570
201324OriolesRk102110011.444.5001.222
201324FrederickA+412021221.436.463.641
201324BowieAA320010019.194.219.290
Provided by Baseball-Reference.com: View Original Table
Generated 10/8/2013.

Alvarez, like Urrutia, is a tweener as well, but for different reasons.  Several teams question his ability to be a MLB starter much more so than the questions Urrutia has faced.  The reports on him supported that he is capable of being a very solid corner outfielder defensively.  However, the concern was brought up about him being a training camp player.  Alvarez' power played well in the Cuban league band boxes where lofting the ball can bring a lot of success.  However, that is not likely to be the case in the States.  There were enough issues with his offense that some teams were looking at him as a pitcher, as reported by Baseball America's Ben Badler.

Alvarez only had 83 plate appearances this season.  He appeared to have issues in AA with more advanced pitching.  I have not heard much positive about him and that he likely needs to rework his swing in order to better cover the plate.  Perhaps, it is scouts reaching back to their earlier assessment as a result of not having much to look at this summer, but there is an expectation that Alvarez will become a relief pitcher for the 2015 season after what is expected to be a poor 2014 season in the field.  However, I think it is too early to come to any conclusion.

Arizona for Alvarez will be an exercise for the developmental team to see how Alvarez plays and figure out a solid offseason routine as well as how to handle him coming into Spring Training.  There is certainly potential there, but that is a pretty rough probability in achieving something that would significantly aid the Orioles.