Showing posts with label 2016 Rule 5. Show all posts
Showing posts with label 2016 Rule 5. Show all posts

13 December 2016

Arrivals and Departures (12/13/16): Post Winter Meeting World

The Orioles saw a flurry of activity last week that at first glance appears to be a shuffling of deck chairs on the U.S.S. Oriole.  Delving in a little deeper, there are justifications for each move.  A vacuum perspective finds that each of these new additions serve a need at a preferred cost.  That said, we do not live in a vacuum and moves in the previous weeks indicate that perhaps if the club was a bit more aggressive than maybe things would look a bit more shiny for 2017.  A few months remain to reconstitute this roster and there are players out there available for the taking.

That said, it is difficult not to notice around the AL East and see that each club is making significant additions.  The Yankees took on the formidable, but morally conflicting, Aroldis Chapman.  Boston decided to deal away near can't miss elite prospects in order to have and hold Chris Sale for three years.  The Blue Jays went to town with a Steve Pearce signing.  The Rays perhaps signed their greatest catcher ever in Wilson Ramos.  All were attached to other sizable moves that have yet to come to fruition.

For the Orioles, the rumor mill has circled the drain with fringe catchers in Nick Hundley and Welington Castillo and slightly splashier names in Michael Saunders and Ian Desmond.  That last one died a quick death as the Colorado Rockies signed Desmond to presumably and confusingly play first base.  The Orioles came out of the meetings with largely the same questions as they entered.  Who catches?  Who plays right field? And, perhaps, how does the pen get stronger?

Right field may have been answered with the Rule 5 acquisition of Anuery Tavarez, a 25yo left handed right fielder who had a cup of coffee in AAA last year.  He has largely existed outside of the world of prospect consideration, but showed a high contact rate, good speed, fringe power, and dependable defense.  Performance wise, he ended the year on a blistering pace while dominating right handed pitching in AA.  In an idea world, one could perhaps squint and see him as a dominant side platoon with Joey Rickard in right field.  However, be sure to take a breath because his breakout season last year was largely tied to a .381 BABIP.

More confusingly, the Orioles made a second selection in the Rule 5 by taking Cleveland's Anthony Santander.  Santander is raw.  Santander is not a right fielder.  Just 22, Santander has always had imposing power and a troubling injury history.  It appeared that he escaped the injury demon this year, but went under the knife to fix a shoulder injury in his throwing arm, which may sideline him into the year and perhaps make him fall under Rule 5 active roster rules in 2018 as well. 

Anyway, what once appeared to be a fringe defense right fielder has slid down the defensive spectrum to appear more like a first baseman with a very promising bat.  2016 saw him break out big with .204 ISO and a healthy 20 home run, 290/368/494 line in single A.  The basic word from scouts was that they would like to have him in their organization, but where do you keep him on an MLB roster and, especially, a playoff contending roster.

As we move forward, it is difficult to conclude that the club has answered any questions yet.  It is also difficult to conclude that the rumored additions the club is planning will make this team better than it was in 2016.  As we move into the middle of the offseason, a creeping awareness of the 2019 season is looming larger and larger.  The club as is really has not been constructed to be viable after 2018.  Contract status, free agent cost, and a dearth of talent in the minors really puts forward the importance of the next two years.  Perhaps, that is better left said a little further down the line though.

Below is the current 40 man roster with 37 out of 40 positions filled.

Options Remaining
 
Options
 
 
1
2
3
Pitchers 
Jayson Aquino 3/12/2014 3/7/2015 3/13/2016
Brad Brach 4/16/2012 5/18/2013 2/25/2014
Parker Bridwell 3/18/2016
Zach Britton  3/29/2011 6/6/2012 3/23/2013
Dylan Bundy  3/16/2013 3/14/2014 3/16/2015
Oliver Drake 3/15/2012 3/9/2015 3/31/2016
Yovani Gallardo 5+ Service
Jason Garcia 3/14/2016
Kevin Gausman 6/13/2013 3/29/2014 6/21/2015
Mychal Givens 6/25/2015
Joe Gunkel
Donnie Hart 7/24/2016
Ubaldo Jimenez 5+ Service
Chris Lee 3/18/2016
Jesus Liranzo
TJ McFarland 3/29/2014 4/5/2015 5/8/2016
Wade Miley 5+ Service
Darren O'Day 5+ Service
Chris Tillman 5+ Service
Tyler Wilson 3/28/2015 7/3/2016
Vance Worley 7/25/2010 3/18/2011 5/22/2013
Mike Wright 3/20/2015 6/2/2016
Catchers 
Caleb Joseph  
Francisco Pena 5/25/2016 3/22/2015 4/1/2016
Infielders 
Chris Davis  5+ Service
Ryan Flaherty  5+ Service
J.J. Hardy  5+ Service
Manny Machado 
Trey Mancini
Jonathan Schoop  3/23/2013
Outfielders 
Daniel Alvarez 3/29/2016
Adam Jones  5+ Service
Hyun Soo Kim Player Approval
Joey Rickard
Anthony Santander Rule 5
Anuery Tavarez Rule 5
Christian Walker 3/16/2015 3/26/2016

21 November 2016

Rule 5 Draft Possibilities: A Few Ideas...

Last week, clubs decided who to protect from the Rule 5 draft.  The draft tends to be a mess of players who are either too far away or simply not talented enough.  That said, the Orioles seem to find worthwhile pieces every year.  Nothing all that exceptional, but worthwhile.  Coming into December this year, we can expect the club to still be on the lookout for middle infield, outfield, and bullpen help.  Below are a few interesting names that you might see pop up when the draft happens.

Middle Infield

Calten Daal, 2B/SS
Cincinnati Reds
YearAgeLevPASBBAOBPSLG
201521A+41521.270.311.286
201622AA1275.310.365.379
All Levels (4 Seasons)98741.280.321.317
Provided by Baseball-Reference.com: View Original Table
Generated 11/21/2016.

Daal is Jonathan Schoop's fellow country man from Curacao.  Beyond being from the same place and knowing each other well, the similarities end there.  Daal is very athletic and has made a name for himself with defense and a decent contact tool.  He has no power to speak of and his arm is a bit fringy for shortstop, so projections have dropped him down to potential utility middle infielder.  He was considered a potential breakout prospect last year due to increased weight training, but head and shoulder injuries limited his time in the field.

Outfield

Jairo Beras, RF
Texas Rangers
YearLevPABAOBPSLG
2015A350.291.332.440
2015Fal18.067.167.133
2016A+441.262.306.511
Minors (4 seasons)Minors1288.262.313.432
Provided by Baseball-Reference.com: View Original Table
Generated 11/21/2016.

Basically, if you want a MLB ready right fielder then do not look in the Rule 5.  Beras has a plus plus arm and is sometimes frightening with his route running.  He has light tower power, but was swallowed whole by advanced pitchers in 2015 due to his long swing and poor pitch recognition.  He might be worth a flyer just to see him first hand in Spring Training, but I am at a loss how he could survive a whole season in the Majors right now.

Bullpen

Daniel Gibson, LHRP
Arizona Diamondbacks
Year Lev ERA IP H9 HR9 BB9 SO9
2015 A+-AA 1.56 52.0 5.9 0.2 3.6 10.0
2015 Fal 0.00 8.0 4.5 0.0 4.5 11.2
2016 AA 0.40 22.2 8.7 0.0 3.2 6.8
2016 AAA 6.86 21.0 10.7 1.7 6.0 7.3
Minors (4 seasons) Minors 2.90 183.0 8.0 0.4 3.9 9.1
Provided by Baseball-Reference.com: View Original Table
Generated 11/21/2016.

Command has always been the issue with Daniel Gibson.  If he has it, he is a potential late inning reliever.  If not, then he might be a fringe situation specialist.  He has a plus fastball that ramps up to 95 mph and an above average slider.  In AAA, he faced hitters advanced enough to wait him out when he had some wild nights.  For a club like the Orioles who are in need for more southpaw options, he might be worth a look in Spring Training.

Angel Perdomo, LHRP
Toronto Blue Jays
YearLevERAIPH9HR9BB9SO9
2015Rk-A-2.6069.16.80.53.98.7
2016A3.19127.07.20.33.811.1
All Levels (5 Seasons)3.01280.26.60.34.410.8
Provided by Baseball-Reference.com: View Original Table
Generated 11/21/2016.

Yes, the jump from single A ball to the Majors is extreme.  However, Perdomo is a 6'6" lefty who as a starter was able to let it go as high as 95 mph and would be expected to sit at that velocity as a reliever.  His breaking ball developed as a more true above average pitch and he ate up left handed batters last year.  The move would be a stretch for him, but he benefits as being profiled as a left specialist for the Orioles who has the stamina to eat junk innings.  There is a lot of potential to like, but the jump may remind some people of Jason Garcia.

Corey Black, RHRP
Chicago Cubs
Year Lev ERA IP H9 HR9 BB9 SO9
2015 AA 4.92 86.0 7.7 0.7 4.9 10.6
2015 Fal 11.42 8.2 12.5 1.0 7.3 6.2
2016 AA 3.18 22.2 7.1 0.0 6.0 9.9
2016 AAA 5.04 30.1 8.9 0.3 6.2 11.0
Minors (5 seasons) Minors 3.93 423.2 7.8 0.6 4.8 9.5
Provided by Baseball-Reference.com: View Original Table
Generated 11/21/2016.

Black is Rick Vaughn.  He can dial it up to 100 mph with a plus plus fastball, but who knows where it will go.  He carries a starter's repertoire, but command hurts those average offerings even more.  If the Orioles somehow think they know a mechanical fix that the Cubs, who have made a name for fixing former Orioles, missed, then he could be a solid pickup.

Miguel Diaz, RHRP
Milwaukee Brewers
Year Lev ERA IP H9 HR9 BB9 SO9
2015 Rk 2.21 20.1 8.9 0.4 2.2 10.2
2016 A 3.71 94.2 7.9 0.7 2.8 8.7
All Levels (5 Seasons) 3.51 236.0 7.9 0.4 3.4 8.5
Provided by Baseball-Reference.com: View Original Table
Generated 11/21/2016.

The Brewers have been slowly bringing Diaz along as a starter.  Slowed by injuries, Diaz' fastball/slider combo is a solid foundation for a starter role, but also makes him a viable relief option.  Stop me if you have heard this one, but he has some control issues.

Dylan Covey, RHRP
Oakland Athletics
YearLevERAIPH9HR9BB9SO9
2015A+3.59140.18.70.82.86.4
2016AA1.8429.16.40.65.28.0
All Levels (4 Seasons)4.20369.09.20.62.96.4
Provided by Baseball-Reference.com: View Original Table
Generated 11/21/2016.

Covey has a nice heavy fastball that runs into the mid 90s in short stints and a starter's arsenal.  However, he spent most of the year on the DL, played rather mediocre in the AFL, and has always been knocked for having quality bullpen pitches that do not miss bats.  Maybe someone still believes.