Over the course of the season, there is no statistical correlation between call differential, (O's BcS + Opps. ScB) - (O's ScB + Opps. BcS), and run differential. The correlation coefficient is just .0099.
(Note: BcS are balls called strikes and ScB are strikes called balls.)
(Note: BcS are balls called strikes and ScB are strikes called balls.)
On the surface, the "Yankee Strikezone" appears to exist (as well as a "Rays Strikezone"). Each one of the American League East teams will receive a more detailed write-up later. Below are samples of the overall season data for the Orioles against each opponent.
Real Strikezone | ||||||
Baltimore Pitching | Opponent Pitching | |||||
Correct | BcS | ScB | Correct | BcS | ScB | |
Season | 89.14% | 9.87% | 13.19% | 89.20% | 9.17% | 14.47% |
Boston Red Sox | 88.65% | 9.88% | 14.49% | 88.69% | 9.42% | 15.70% |
Tampa Bay Rays | 88.81% | 8.91% | 16.81% | 89.26% | 9.57% | 13.48% |
New York Yankees | 89.79% | 9.48% | 12.10% | 88.74% | 10.95% | 11.92% |
Toronto Blue Jays | 88.00% | 11.97% | 12.06% | 90.06% | 7.98% | 14.38% |
Detroit Tigers | 92.35% | 7.19% | 8.85% | 88.03% | 9.55% | 16.88% |
Cleveland Indians | 92.36% | 7.87% | 7.10% | 88.55% | 9.07% | 16.30% |
Kansas City Royals | 87.11% | 12.65% | 13.42% | 92.59% | 8.08% | 5.84% |
Minnesota Twins | 86.91% | 13.54% | 11.97% | 83.47% | 14.49% | 21.19% |
Chicago White Sox | 88.26% | 9.48% | 16.67% | 90.12% | 6.98% | 16.46% |
Oakland Athletics | 88.99% | 11.25% | 10.43% | 88.10% | 10.58% | 14.88% |
Texas Rangers | 91.50% | 7.02% | 12.32% | 89.69% | 6.84% | 17.34% |
Los Angeles Angels | 87.84% | 10.32% | 16.67% | 89.44% | 8.61% | 15.49% |
Seattle Mariners | 87.48% | 11.23% | 15.75% | 89.61% | 7.31% | 17.42% |
Houston Astros | 91.13% | 7.50% | 12.21% | 89.20% | 8.71% | 15.03% |
Washington Nationals | 90.31% | 9.36% | 10.34% | 92.96% | 6.77% | 7.61% |
Los Angeles Dodgers | 85.87% | 12.89% | 17.07% | 93.33% | 6.25% | 7.58% |
Arizona Diamondbacks | 91.17% | 7.61% | 11.63% | 87.88% | 14.12% | 5.56% |
San Diego Padres | 90.00% | 8.37% | 13.79% | 90.99% | 8.64% | 9.80% |
San Francisco Giants | 88.05% | 13.27% | 8.70% | 90.24% | 7.08% | 15.69% |
Colorado Rockies | 93.53% | 4.52% | 10.39% | 85.94% | 7.91% | 29.17% |
Of note is the three game sweep by the Diamondbacks in Phoenix, which was a momentum-crushing series in August during what was an otherwise successful road trip out west. After taking 4 of 5 from San Diego and San Francisco, the O's would go on to lose 6 of 8 from Arizona, Colorado, and Tampa Bay. Against the Diamondbacks, the Orioles had 18 calls in their favor for the Rzone and 35 go against them. That -17 represents one of the largest differentials for a series on the season, ranking second behind only the April 16 - 18 series against Tampa Bay, which had a -20 differential. The best series for the Orioles was the September 24 - 26 series against Toronto, which had a +14 differential (almost all of which came from an astounding +16 in the middle game, called by Chris Guccione).
Typical Strikezone | ||||||
Baltimore Pitching | Opponent Pitching | |||||
Correct | BcS | ScB | Correct | BcS | ScB | |
Season | 86.92% | 2.23% | 27.30% | 86.69% | 1.86% | 27.94% |
Boston Red Sox | 86.04% | 1.93% | 28.13% | 86.45% | 2.71% | 28.23% |
Tampa Bay Rays | 85.85% | 2.02% | 30.76% | 87.79% | 2.65% | 25.60% |
New York Yankees | 87.03% | 1.80% | 28.32% | 87.42% | 2.29% | 24.83% |
Toronto Blue Jays | 86.49% | 2.88% | 26.42% | 86.74% | 1.47% | 28.62% |
Detroit Tigers | 88.64% | 2.81% | 25.00% | 82.91% | 2.48% | 32.74% |
Cleveland Indians | 90.73% | 2.44% | 19.37% | 86.05% | 3.19% | 27.64% |
Kansas City Royals | 85.86% | 2.73% | 27.11% | 91.03% | 1.00% | 20.09% |
Minnesota Twins | 87.73% | 3.27% | 23.83% | 84.48% | 2.29% | 30.34% |
Chicago White Sox | 88.68% | 1.45% | 24.75% | 84.69% | 0.70% | 33.19% |
Oakland Athletics | 88.46% | 2.42% | 23.97% | 87.00% | 0.68% | 27.60% |
Texas Rangers | 86.23% | 2.38% | 30.50% | 84.35% | 0.72% | 32.65% |
Los Angeles Angels | 85.95% | 1.49% | 30.14% | 86.45% | 2.36% | 29.76% |
Seattle Mariners | 85.52% | 2.11% | 30.09% | 86.61% | 0.81% | 30.27% |
Houston Astros | 88.03% | 1.87% | 26.78% | 86.18% | 0.81% | 28.57% |
Washington Nationals | 87.98% | 3.50% | 22.61% | 88.03% | 0.00% | 25.76% |
Los Angeles Dodgers | 86.96% | 1.96% | 26.83% | 85.71% | 1.75% | 29.17% |
Arizona Diamondbacks | 86.22% | 1.89% | 29.03% | 89.18% | 2.90% | 22.58% |
San Diego Padres | 86.90% | 1.22% | 28.57% | 89.44% | 1.64% | 22.30% |
San Francisco Giants | 88.05% | 5.38% | 21.21% | 87.20% | 1.06% | 28.57% |
Colorado Rockies | 86.64% | 0.79% | 28.57% | 84.34% | 0.68% | 37.25% |
The umpires sure did give the Orioles a hand in the Giants series. On the other hand, against 3 out of 4 AL East teams, the umpires called a tighter Tzone than average for the Orioles and a looser Tzone than average for their opponents.
Borderline Pitches | ||||
Baltimore Pitching | Opponent Pitching | |||
Strikes | T-R Strikes | Strikes | T-R Strikes | |
Season | 51.64% | 41.81% | 49.88% | 40.43% |
Boston Red Sox | 48.74% | 40.65% | 48.18% | 40.88% |
Tampa Bay Rays | 45.41% | 38.89% | 48.63% | 43.75% |
New York Yankees | 51.70% | 40.41% | 55.00% | 45.20% |
Toronto Blue Jays | 60.67% | 44.98% | 57.67% | 36.96% |
Detroit Tigers | 53.49% | 32.56% | 41.82% | 33.33% |
Cleveland Indians | 56.25% | 41.51% | 47.62% | 38.71% |
Kansas City Royals | 54.89% | 46.05% | 55.38% | 43.33% |
Minnesota Twins | 58.18% | 52.78% | 50.00% | 53.01% |
Chicago White Sox | 52.21% | 51.92% | 47.33% | 31.08% |
Oakland Athletics | 53.28% | 48.10% | 55.10% | 46.34% |
Texas Rangers | 38.89% | 29.03% | 34.90% | 30.56% |
Los Angeles Angels | 48.06% | 43.66% | 48.28% | 38.10% |
Seattle Mariners | 50.00% | 43.75% | 38.14% | 37.74% |
Houston Astros | 51.49% | 36.54% | 53.51% | 39.06% |
Washington Nationals | 55.00% | 39.29% | 52.94% | 32.50% |
Los Angeles Dodgers | 52.11% | 53.66% | 43.75% | 23.33% |
Arizona Diamondbacks | 52.24% | 31.58% | 60.78% | 53.85% |
San Diego Padres | 51.32% | 38.46% | 48.15% | 43.24% |
San Francisco Giants | 70.00% | 50.00% | 48.94% | 36.84% |
Colorado Rockies | 47.06% | 21.43% | 48.39% | 43.33% |
The NL West, against whom the Orioles played the fewest games, again shows the highest variability in Orioles borderline strikes compared to their opponents. Against the AL East, with much larger sample sizes, the Orioles were even with the Red Sox, had an advantage against Toronto, and had significant disadvantages against the Yankees and Rays.
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