13 May 2008

2008 Playoff Odds Update

I have added a new feature to this weekly column: the Pythagorean Expected Wins. This method is often scrutinized, so I felt it would be interesting to throw it up there and see how it responds throughout the season. This method will not predict playoff chances. I have also narrowed the viewable field. I will continue to do this as the season goes on in order for us to more easily discern the differences between the methods presented.

PECOTA has downgraded the Orioles' chances from 1:176 to 1:205. ELO has actually upgraded us from 1:16 to 1:15.

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