23 May 2013

Strikezone Analysis for May 20 - 22: Yankees at Orioles

Series Thoughts

Coming into this series, I was curious to see how the strikezone would play out. The "Yankee Strikezone" is part of why I began this project. In the first series between these teams this year, the strikezones were wildly inconsistent, ranging from under 80% correct to over 90% correct for the Rzone. The Orioles had received 24 calls in favor to the Yankees' 31. This series saw 13 Rzone calls in favor of the Orioles to 20 for the Yankees, bringing the totals to 37 and 51, respectively.

On borderline pitches, the first series between the teams saw the Orioles with 19 called balls and 19 called strikes. The Yankees had 22 called balls and 36 called strikes. This series saw 25 strikes to 26 balls for the Orioles and 30 strikes to 25 balls for the Yankees.

On the season, the Orioles borderline strike rate is 49.06% and their opponents are at 49.35%. Versus the Yankees, the Orioles have a 49.44% rate and the Yankees have a 58.41% rate. Matt Wieters has caught all 6 games against the Yankees, while the Yankees have used Cervelli (2.5), Stewart (0.5), and Romine (3). This is not enough data to draw a firm conclusion from, but it does raise an eyebrow.

Click through the jump for the game-by-game numbers.


May 20, 2013: Orioles - 4, Yankees - 6

Regarding the nonsense by Eric Cooper at 1B, I have nothing to say except for all the bad words. ALL the bad words.

As for Jeff Kellogg behind home plate, fair zone. The random ball called well inside the strikezone was a Boone Logan two-seam fastball at 92 mph with a ton of movement to Nick Markakis.

Umpire Real % of
Total
% of
Chances
Typical % of
Total
% of
Chances
Correct Calls 140 90.32% 130 83.87%
Incorrect Calls 15 9.68% 25 16.13%
Balls Called Balls 100 64.52% 90.91% 82 52.90% 97.62%
Strikes Called Strikes 40 25.81% 88.89% 48 30.97% 67.61%
Strikes Called Balls 5 3.23% 11.11% 23 14.84% 32.39%
Balls Called Strikes 10 6.45% 9.09% 2 1.29% 2.38%
Borderline - Balls 23 14.84% 56.10%
Borderline - Strikes 18 11.61% 43.90%
Baltimore Orioles Real % of
Team
% of
Chances
Typical % of
Team
% of
Chances
Ball Called Ball 48 67.61% 88.89% 37 52.11% 94.87%
Strike Called Strike 15 21.13% 88.24% 19 26.76% 59.38%
Strike Called Ball 2 2.82% 11.76% 13 18.31% 40.63%
Ball Called Strike 6 8.45% 11.11% 2 2.82% 5.13%
Borderline Pitches 46 33.33%
Borderline - Balls 11 61.11%
Borderline - Strikes 7 38.89%
Calls in Favor 9 5.81% 12 7.74%
Calls Against 6 3.87% 13 8.39%
New York Yankees Real % of
Team
% of
Chances
Typical % of
Team
% of
Chances
Ball Called Ball 52 61.90% 92.86% 45 53.57% 100.00%
Strike Called Strike 25 29.76% 89.29% 29 34.52% 74.36%
Strike Called Ball 3 3.57% 10.71% 10 11.90% 25.64%
Ball Called Strike 4 4.76% 7.14% 0 0.00% 0.00%
Borderline Pitches 53 28.75%
Borderline - Balls 12 52.17%
Borderline - Strikes 11 47.83%
Calls in Favor 6 3.87% 13 8.39%
Calls Against 9 5.81% 12 7.74%



May 21, 2013: Orioles - 3, Yankees - 2

Who would've thought that a new record for the cleanest called Rzone this season would be set by 1) Eric Cooper, he of the 1B umpiring malfunctions in the first game of the series and 2) in a game involving the New York Yankees? The 2 : 5 / O's : Yankees calls in favor ratio doesn't look good, but is really not very statistically significant.

Umpire Real % of
Total
% of
Chances
Typical % of
Total
% of
Chances
Correct Calls 127 94.78% 120 89.55%
Incorrect Calls 7 5.22% 14 10.45%
Balls Called Balls 87 64.93% 93.55% 77 57.46% 96.25%
Strikes Called Strikes 40 29.85% 97.56% 43 32.09% 79.63%
Strikes Called Balls 1 0.75% 2.44% 11 8.21% 20.37%
Balls Called Strikes 6 4.48% 6.45% 3 2.24% 3.75%
Borderline - Balls 15 11.19% 45.45%
Borderline - Strikes 18 13.43% 54.55%
Baltimore Orioles Real % of
Team
% of
Chances
Typical % of
Team
% of
Chances
Ball Called Ball 40 64.52% 95.24% 37 59.68% 97.37%
Strike Called Strike 19 30.65% 95.00% 20 32.26% 83.33%
Strike Called Ball 1 1.61% 5.00% 4 6.45% 16.67%
Ball Called Strike 2 3.23% 4.76% 1 1.61% 2.63%
Borderline Pitches 38 30.40%
Borderline - Balls 6 40.00%
Borderline - Strikes 9 60.00%
Calls in Favor 2 1.49% 8 5.97%
Calls Against 5 3.73% 6 4.48%
New York Yankees Real % of
Team
% of
Chances
Typical % of
Team
% of
Chances
Ball Called Ball 47 65.28% 92.16% 40 55.56% 95.24%
Strike Called Strike 21 29.17% 100.00% 23 31.94% 76.67%
Strike Called Ball 0 0.00% 0.00% 7 9.72% 23.33%
Ball Called Strike 4 5.56% 7.84% 2 2.78% 4.76%
Borderline Pitches 39 25.17%
Borderline - Balls 9 50.00%
Borderline - Strikes 9 50.00%
Calls in Favor 5 3.73% 6 4.48%
Calls Against 2 1.49% 8 5.97%



May 22, 2013: Orioles - 6, Yankees - 3

Win the series. Win the game in spite of very unfavorable Rzone, Tzone, and borderline strike rates. That'll do.

Umpire Real % of
Total
% of
Chances
Typical % of
Total
% of
Chances
Correct Calls 111 90.98% 102 83.61%
Incorrect Calls 11 9.02% 20 16.39%
Balls Called Balls 80 65.57% 90.91% 66 54.10% 95.65%
Strikes Called Strikes 31 25.41% 91.18% 36 29.51% 67.92%
Strikes Called Balls 3 2.46% 8.82% 17 13.93% 32.08%
Balls Called Strikes 8 6.56% 9.09% 3 2.46% 4.35%
Borderline - Balls 13 10.66% 40.63%
Borderline - Strikes 19 15.57% 59.38%
Baltimore Orioles Real % of
Team
% of
Chances
Typical % of
Team
% of
Chances
Ball Called Ball 42 65.63% 95.45% 33 51.56% 100.00%
Strike Called Strike 17 26.56% 85.00% 19 29.69% 61.29%
Strike Called Ball 3 4.69% 15.00% 12 18.75% 38.71%
Ball Called Strike 2 3.13% 4.55% 0 0.00% 0.00%
Borderline Pitches 47 32.19%
Borderline - Balls 9 50.00%
Borderline - Strikes 9 50.00%
Calls in Favor 2 1.64% 5 4.10%
Calls Against 9 7.38% 15 12.30%
New York Yankees Real % of
Team
% of
Chances
Typical % of
Team
% of
Chances
Ball Called Ball 38 65.52% 86.36% 33 56.90% 91.67%
Strike Called Strike 14 24.14% 100.00% 17 29.31% 77.27%
Strike Called Ball 0 0.00% 0.00% 5 8.62% 22.73%
Ball Called Strike 6 10.34% 13.64% 3 5.17% 8.33%
Borderline Pitches 32 41.59%
Borderline - Balls 4 28.57%
Borderline - Strikes 10 71.43%
Calls in Favor 9 7.38% 15 12.30%
Calls Against 2 1.64% 5 4.10%


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