Who Gets In? (8/11/2012)

I put in a different column this week.  As mentioned before, I have been using season long fWAR to project future performance.  The idea is that perhaps fWAR is a better metric to use for a projection than simple runs scored and runs given.  The new column (p30) uses fWAR from the past 30 days to project future performance.  I do not know if it is a better way to do things or not.  Regardless, both methods are utilizing a descriptive statistic as the basis for projecting performance.

Team	Wins	Proj. Wins	Total	*	p30 Proj
NYY	66	30	96	East	96
TEX	65	30	95	West	89
CHW	61	26	87	WC	84
BAL	61	21	82	5 GB	84
DET	61	27	88	Central	90
OAK	60	24	84	3 GB	88
TBR	60	25	85	2 GB	89
LAA	60	27	87	WC	88
BOS	56	25	81	6 GB	78
TOR	53	23	76	11 GB	74
CLE	52	21	73	14 GB	68
SEA	51	21	72	15 GB	75
MIN	49	22	71	16 GB	76
KCR	48	23	71	16 GB	72

To emphasize the AL East:

Team	Proj Win
NYY	30
TBR	25
BOS	25
TOR	23
BAL	21