18 April 2011

Predicted Wins and Playoff Probability: Week 3

Quick post tonight . . . before tonight's game, the team sat at 4.2% playoff chance with PECOTA's predictions and 1.0% with the Depot's predictions.

Here is the projected wins by date:

I find it somewhat remarkable how similar the different lines are.  So far, the Depot model has had the least elasticity while the Pythagorean, as expected, has the most.  Hopefully, next week finds the team in better shape.

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