08 April 2008

So you are saying there is still a chance?

The Orioles have put together a string of five thrilling, incredible, unlikely games. If their strategy is to win every game from behind and by one run, they might become disappointed really fast. The season, so far, has been characterized by an above average offense, a solid bullpen, and a poor starting rotation. We are 5-1 . . . so what are our postseason chances after 6 games according to the PECOTA and ELO projections?

66.4 wins
0.85% AL East Champions
1.25% Wild Card
2.10% Playoffs

77.2 wins
7.26% AL East Champions
5.76% Wild Card
12.02% Playoffs

Note: ELO is a ranking-based projection system.

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