20 January 2012

Cup o' jO's: Rick Peterson and the O's Arms

Just a quick entry this morning...

Rick Peterson and his pitching lab will apparently be in full effect for the Orioles in 2012.  His analytical technique has been hailed as a major prevention tool against injuries.  I have disabled list numbers of starting pitchers from part of his tenure with the A's and all of his tenure with the Mets, giving us a time line from 2001 to 2007.  I also have disabled numbers of Orioles' starting pitchers in 2009 and 2010.

Rick Peterson
2001 - No starting pitchers visited the DL
2002 - 3 DL visits, 84 missed days
2003 - 3, 60
2004 - 3, 91
2005 - 3, 205
2006 - 5, 382
2007 - 3, 215

I am not sure what to make of the above except to note that much of the injury issues with the Mets were with aging retreads as they tried to fill out their pitching rotation for another post season run.  I look at those numbers and they appear to be quite impressive.  Although, he did have one of the more unfortunate statements to have been uttered during his time with the Mets.  He noted that he could fix Victor Zambrano's performance in "ten minutes" while Scott Kazmir was at least three years from performing in the big leagues.  Zambrano, as many expected, quickly fell apart and Kazmir becames the Rays' ace.  At the time and in hindsight, it was an awful deal and incredibly perplexing.

Now, looking at the Orioles
2009 - 4, 304
2010 - 4, 192

That does not appear to be much different than the end of Peterson's run with the Mets.

In a future post, I hope to get into these numbers a bit deeper.


Anonymous said...

You left out some key details of the Kazmir/Zambrano trade. The Mets were eager to trade Kazmir because Peterson believed he would develop serious injury problems down the road. While Kazmir did enjoy several successful major league season, he is now 27, and will likely never pitch again in the majors due to serious arm injuries. When you include that detail, Peterson looks quite prescient.

The biggest issue with that trade was Peterson's evaluation of Zambrano, not Kazmir. If the Mets had received anything of lasting value in return, the deal would not seem so lopsided today.

Jon Shepherd said...

I think it shows an overreaction of pitching mechanics in young pitchers. Concern over mechanics makes more sense to me when you deal with older pitchers when free agency comes into play.

What I see is a genuine concern over pitching mechanics leading into a rash decision into getting 'any' value for him. That mentality and overconfidence in analysis leads to short selling very good talent.