tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2893512317902577458.post6559458863583310414..comments2024-01-06T02:22:33.000-05:00Comments on Camden Depot: Is Jim Johnson an Elite Closer?Jon Shepherdhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/03521809778977098687noreply@blogger.comBlogger4125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2893512317902577458.post-29938492556681776332013-10-03T22:48:25.295-04:002013-10-03T22:48:25.295-04:00I guess it's easy to tell I've written may...I guess it's easy to tell I've written maybe five documents over five pages over the past ten years? <br /><br />That sounds familar actually. Maybe in a few weeks I can take a look. <br /><br />Matt Pnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2893512317902577458.post-42020698430807246122013-10-03T09:14:33.980-04:002013-10-03T09:14:33.980-04:00Matt - For ERA...r^2 is 0.21, so there is some. T...Matt - For ERA...r^2 is 0.21, so there is some. That said there could be other issues in play like half of this time period being in an offensive era. I do not immediately have numbers for FIP and xFIP.<br /><br />If you want to put that together, you could guest a post (with perhaps some editing before going live). My assumption is though that you would have a very close relationship between those values and success rates simply because pitching well will likely overwhelm any other factor that may or may not be in play (e.g. the supposed closer mentality).<br /><br />Joe - If guys like Choate were not included then I would guess that the averages for relievers in general would shift downward and make Johnson look better in general. However, with his place in the group not being affected much when you put him in the sub-demo of long standing closers, I doubt it would affect things significantly.Jon Shepherdhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/03521809778977098687noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2893512317902577458.post-36254253665292241432013-10-03T08:59:10.348-04:002013-10-03T08:59:10.348-04:00Would the conclusion be different if the obvious l...Would the conclusion be different if the obvious left-handed one-out guys like Randy Choate were not included? Anonymoushttps://www.blogger.com/profile/18347209822215185644noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2893512317902577458.post-88194761702433513442013-10-03T08:53:21.208-04:002013-10-03T08:53:21.208-04:00Do you know whether there's a strong relations...Do you know whether there's a strong relationship between save conversion rates and ERA/FIP/xFIP?<br /><br />A lot of set-up men and closers are still under team control or are starting arbitration. Is it fair to compare salaries? Kimbrel is making 500k this year but would probably be making 15m if he was eligible for free agency.<br /><br /><br /><br />Matt Pnoreply@blogger.com