tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2893512317902577458.post4323899585564519158..comments2024-01-06T02:22:33.000-05:00Comments on Camden Depot: Are the Orioles Playoff Chances Dead?Jon Shepherdhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/03521809778977098687noreply@blogger.comBlogger3125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2893512317902577458.post-41073078002150556212013-09-19T14:55:04.654-04:002013-09-19T14:55:04.654-04:00It seems like there's a decent chance that two...It seems like there's a decent chance that two or more teams finish tied for the last wc spot. Is there a play-in game if that happens, or is season series used as the tie breaker?<br /><br />I thought we were done a few weeks ago, but no other team has really seized the opportunity to take over. Texas just went 9-1 and the Rays haven't been lighting it up either. Liamnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2893512317902577458.post-2618988328455194122013-09-19T13:43:35.324-04:002013-09-19T13:43:35.324-04:00For what it's worth, about a month ago I belie...For what it's worth, about a month ago I believed that the Orioles' weren't capable of <i>winning</i> a wild card berth, but they were the team most likely to take advantage if other teams lost it. I think that's still accurate - if Texas continues and Cleveland enters free-fall, the Orioles will make the postseason. Otherwise, not. Anonymoushttps://www.blogger.com/profile/18347209822215185644noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2893512317902577458.post-39546571716159537462013-09-19T11:38:17.804-04:002013-09-19T11:38:17.804-04:00To clarify the difficulty of the situation:
You h...To clarify the difficulty of the situation:<br /><br />You have the Indians with a .539 winning percentage going against the Astros (.336), White Sox (.395), and Twins (.430). Using the Log5 projection Bill James came up with, you have a base expectation of the Indians winning roughly 7 games and losing 3.<br /><br />The Orioles have a .536 winning percentage and face the Red Sox (.601), Rays (.550), and Jays (.457), which leads up to a base expectation of 5 wins and 6 losses.<br /><br />This is just considering these two teams. When you begin to incorporate all the other teams in the equation, the Orioles need to nearly win out over the next couple weeks to make the playoffs with several teams performing under expectations. For those reasons, being one game back might be more daunting than it originally appears.Jon Shepherdhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/03521809778977098687noreply@blogger.com