This pitching post is likely of particular interest to Orioles fans. With about 50 MM in spending room after arbitration and assuming that payroll will remain steady, the club has the opportunity to revamp their starting rotation. As the Orioles enter into this offseason, they effectively have Dylan Bundy and Kevin Gausman in the rotation. Some have suggested that Gabriel Ynoa or Miguel Castro should be given a 5th slot competition, but when you have 50 MM on hand you probably should aim higher.
BORAS Projected Contract Terms (updated 10/16)
|Extrapolated - Poor|
Several players seemed to drop off from their midseason expectations with less than stellar second halfs. Yu Darvish went from a projected 6/118 deal to 4/59 as he scuttled. It will be interested to see if his struggles in the second half will put a major damper on his value. Jason Vargas, as I was expected, had his value collapse as he came back down to earth. He dropped from a stunning 4/80 (man, that first half was good) to 2/16. Jake Arrieta delivered a stronger second half and saw a modest increase from 3/45 to 3/53.
Below are the changes from midseason (which projected a continuation of first half performance throughout the season) and the end of year projection.
It certainly amazing how much a second half can change the trajectory of overall performance. Anyway, based on these figures, the Orioles should be able to acquire three new starting pitchers. No, not much looks to be available which is similar to last year. With each free agent season, it appears that incredibly enticing free agents are typically locked into deals before they hit the market. Maybe without a top tier of pitching available yet there still being a need for pitchers, we might see these contracts wind up being on the low end.
We shall see.