tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2893512317902577458.post768458283125809322..comments2024-01-06T02:22:33.000-05:00Comments on Camden Depot: The Orioles 19 Sacrifice Bunt Attempts of 2016Jon Shepherdhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/03521809778977098687noreply@blogger.comBlogger1125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2893512317902577458.post-25534884780396344442016-09-22T11:27:42.754-04:002016-09-22T11:27:42.754-04:00In order to do this comparison, you would have to ...In order to do this comparison, you would have to make one adjustment to the league average percent chance of scoring for:<br />Man on 1st, no outs: 0.859 runs expected in inning (42% chance)<br />because it would include those many times that the next play would be team bunted with a man on first and no outs.<br />(This would mean they are overlapped, that is, the second group is a subset of the first and this is not what you want when comparing these situations to see specifically if the bunt helped)<br />Then after removing this information you would be able to compare the two percentages.<br />Looking at it, likely the percentage was lowered, maybe 45% or higher, down to 40% for the situation with man on 2nd and one out.Alannoreply@blogger.com