tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2893512317902577458.post6869160045050768047..comments2024-01-06T02:22:33.000-05:00Comments on Camden Depot: Free Agents - Third BaseJon Shepherdhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/03521809778977098687noreply@blogger.comBlogger5125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2893512317902577458.post-44513174470804496012011-11-08T21:10:09.019-05:002011-11-08T21:10:09.019-05:00Oh yeah, it's Freese? Eh, maybe that is for t...Oh yeah, it's Freese? Eh, maybe that is for the best.Jon Shepherdhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/03521809778977098687noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2893512317902577458.post-39342283214899632602011-11-08T19:26:33.630-05:002011-11-08T19:26:33.630-05:00FYI - that pic looks like David Freese playing thi...FYI - that pic looks like David Freese playing third, not Nick Punto.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2893512317902577458.post-34161856104937351602011-11-08T19:14:55.516-05:002011-11-08T19:14:55.516-05:00Pretty funny on Reynolds. He'll do well once ...Pretty funny on Reynolds. He'll do well once he gets off his high horse and actually tries to make more contact, swing at more strikes, catch the ball....Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2893512317902577458.post-19544030032001656232011-11-08T15:28:39.753-05:002011-11-08T15:28:39.753-05:00As I explained, this is a weighted projection syst...As I explained, this is a weighted projection system and Punto's number is due to his good year at the plate last year.<br /><br />A projection system is not supposed to ne perfect, but offer a rough idea.<br /><br />The key is to use common sense and never let one tool rule your thinking.<br /><br />-JSAnonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2893512317902577458.post-6441017057732562362011-11-08T14:33:43.545-05:002011-11-08T14:33:43.545-05:00"Nick Punto (4.2)
This projection surprised m..."Nick Punto (4.2)<br />This projection surprised me."<br /><br />Gobsmacked. Flabbergasted. <br /><br />Here's a tip - if your system projects a 33 year-old to provide more value next year than he has in his 3 previous seasons <i>combined</i>, you might want to reexamine your system.<br /><br />It looks like you've taken Punto's fluke 2011 part-time performance and extrapolated it to 600 PAs with no regression to the mean or decline due to aging. God help us all if Duquette took something like this seriously...Anonymousnoreply@blogger.com