tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2893512317902577458.post4759837219088949578..comments2024-01-06T02:22:33.000-05:00Comments on Camden Depot: 2012 Top 25 prospects: #16-20Jon Shepherdhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/03521809778977098687noreply@blogger.comBlogger4125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2893512317902577458.post-50775211297436801612011-12-10T09:14:01.587-05:002011-12-10T09:14:01.587-05:00Sorry, didn't see the BABIP question. Same iss...Sorry, didn't see the BABIP question. Same issue as power. Typical BABIP analysis is skewed by low power, or players that are inclined to softer contact. This isn't usually an issue when evaluating ML regulars, as there are very few players with this shortcoming getting regular ABs.<br /><br />But when looking at transition from AAA to MLB, it is important to take into account whether the prospect has a low BABIP because he was a little unlucky or because he simply isn't making an average amount of hard contact.Nick J Falerishttps://www.blogger.com/profile/12413352719310759010noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2893512317902577458.post-69584015457343987332011-12-10T09:11:51.462-05:002011-12-10T09:11:51.462-05:00As Jon points out, the problem with having no powe...As Jon points out, the problem with having no power at the MLB level is that pitchers have no reason to avoid contact. Angle will see a lot of fastballs on the inner-half.<br /><br />He doesn't need to be a big homerun threat, but he needs to prove he has enough strength to meet that pitch with hard contact. I think he proves a bit shy in that department, ultimately. <br /><br />4th outfield type is still valuable, certainly.Nick J Falerishttps://www.blogger.com/profile/12413352719310759010noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2893512317902577458.post-69009814441613654442011-12-10T07:47:41.848-05:002011-12-10T07:47:41.848-05:00I am not speaking for Nick, but my opinion though ...I am not speaking for Nick, but my opinion though is that it is difficult to use 95 plate appearances to say much of anything. It just is not a great sample size to work with.<br /><br />Therefore, my focus is on his minor league statistics. You can see as he moved up the ladder that his walk rate has decreased at each stop. This is likely due to facing pitchers with better control of their pitches. In the Majors he will be facing pitchers that will be more capable of bearing down on him and will challenge him because there is little concern for Angle going yard. His walk rate should collapse.Jon Shepherdhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/03521809778977098687noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2893512317902577458.post-88515732088207493272011-12-09T23:58:34.030-05:002011-12-09T23:58:34.030-05:00Though Angle is clearly "devoid of power"...Though Angle is clearly "devoid of power", I wonder if there aren't reasons to be more bullish about his ability to get on base. Angle had a 12.6% walk rate in limited time last year, and has maintained a similar walk rate through much of his minor league career. Also, while Angle's AVG was .177 due to an abysmal .200 BABIP, his xBABIP was significantly higher (as is his career BABIP in the minors). <br /><br />Is there no chance that Angle's basestealing and ability to take a walk could turn him into a serviceable lead-off hitter? Were Angle's 12.6% walk rate and 24.6% line drive rate just a fluke?Anonymousnoreply@blogger.com