tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2893512317902577458.post4689900103205493885..comments2024-01-06T02:22:33.000-05:00Comments on Camden Depot: What Effect Moving the Fences at Camden Yards Would Have?Jon Shepherdhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/03521809778977098687noreply@blogger.comBlogger3125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2893512317902577458.post-60264022941715864732012-05-03T17:37:05.265-04:002012-05-03T17:37:05.265-04:00Of course, there are assumptions here that were us...Of course, there are assumptions here that were used to extend our consideration of homeruns beyond the area for which we could test. I do not have a data set for long outs.Jon Shepherdhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/03521809778977098687noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2893512317902577458.post-23958982818026723752012-05-03T12:56:30.546-04:002012-05-03T12:56:30.546-04:00Statistician says...
From a purely statistical po...Statistician says...<br /><br />From a purely statistical point of view, extrapolating outside the rgion of data can be a little risky. It's subject to huge swings in variability. Any prediction within the 0-90 foot range should be alright. However, beyond that range, things might change drastically. Instead of 167 projected HRs, there might be 180 or 190, depending on the number of guys out there with warning track power.<br /><br />If there's any "long out" data out there (Data that has the number of 390 foot outs), this would give a better estimate of moving fences in.<br /><br />To Northwood: It's a worthwhile thought. It worked in Memorial Stadium (See Ballpark Wanderer in Tom Boswell's "Why Time Begins on Opening Day"). Boswell mentions that O's pitchers lived by the maxim that fastballs on the outside corner would be long outs in the deep power alleys of Memorial Stadium.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2893512317902577458.post-13606399398054570012012-05-02T18:17:55.877-04:002012-05-02T18:17:55.877-04:00Thanks for the analysis. I have wondered this same...Thanks for the analysis. I have wondered this same thing, but from a competitive standpoint - How many of those home runs where Os and how many visitors? Given that a home run hitting OF costs more than a fast one, would moving the fences out 10 feet and giving up the Os HR allow the Os to develop faster gap hitting OF to give home field advantage over the more costly Red Sox and Yankees OF sluggers (although Granderson would still kick our butts).<br /><br />Also, fly ball pitchers are cheaper than ground ball pitchers. Getting a long fly out with men on base instead of a HR could have a more significant positive impact on Os ERA than visitors.Northwoodnoreply@blogger.com