tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2893512317902577458.post1972762952436487840..comments2024-01-06T02:22:33.000-05:00Comments on Camden Depot: What does April's Pennant Mean?Jon Shepherdhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/03521809778977098687noreply@blogger.comBlogger7125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2893512317902577458.post-61216836853102875032012-04-29T16:35:38.091-04:002012-04-29T16:35:38.091-04:00But you have to admit it has been fun to watch the...But you have to admit it has been fun to watch the young players make a diff like Weiters and ReimoldAnonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2893512317902577458.post-74803155930007926632012-04-24T16:15:15.468-04:002012-04-24T16:15:15.468-04:00I guess I was thinking the synergistic effect of m...I guess I was thinking the synergistic effect of more quality on top tier teams and loss of quality players on lower tier teams would push towards August being overwhelmingly higly valued. But you are correct September blows holes through my hypothesis!RDnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2893512317902577458.post-39175829844534992002012-04-24T14:01:01.575-04:002012-04-24T14:01:01.575-04:00Wouldn't you expect some carryover to Septembe...Wouldn't you expect some carryover to September? Also, exactly how many trades of significance transpire to affect August?<br /><br />It sounds like a convenient narrative, but it just does not seem to jive completely for me.Jon Shepherdhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/03521809778977098687noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2893512317902577458.post-58096245164294107742012-04-24T13:36:53.262-04:002012-04-24T13:36:53.262-04:00You mention after the first set of data that Augus...You mention after the first set of data that Augusts’ value put the trade deadline as a bit murky. Yet couldn’t it be that the trade deadline is a causative effect on Augusts’ value? After all there is greater discrepancy between top tier and bottom tier teams after August 1st.RDnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2893512317902577458.post-72785301119649643102012-04-23T14:17:18.717-04:002012-04-23T14:17:18.717-04:00Well I never claimed you weren't correct howev...Well I never claimed you weren't correct however, sometimes the truth is better to avoid... especially in April ;)Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2893512317902577458.post-90889061518124603862012-04-23T13:48:48.231-04:002012-04-23T13:48:48.231-04:00Thanks Patrick.
I hope our site soon is not a ble...Thanks Patrick.<br /><br />I hope our site soon is not a bleak place to be. Alas the qualitative and quantitative assessments we do always lead us in a direction that is bleak, but I would like to mention that the past three years we have predicted more wins than the Os wind up getting.<br /><br />Anyway, here's to better times coming sooner than later.Jon Shepherdhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/03521809778977098687noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2893512317902577458.post-4999654589446772772012-04-23T13:40:39.808-04:002012-04-23T13:40:39.808-04:00As someone that spends the majority of his life bu...As someone that spends the majority of his life buried in SPSS files it is always interesting to see the use of stats on something I love, but at the same time it usually acts as kind of a buzz kill. This article is very interesting and was passed along to me by a baseball friend as he knew I was a stats junky. I usually don't read Camden depot because of its normally, no offense, bleak outlook. I do think it lends a very awesome look at which month explains the greatest amount of variance in terms of outcome but you are right it would be fool hardly to draw conclusions with the dreaded *dun dun dun* SSS. My suggestions to ones that dwell on the high power of the stats from the last 13 losings... We are currently winning, that is better then losing. <br /><br />Cheers on a solid article.<br />~patrickAnonymousnoreply@blogger.com