As summarized by MLBTR,
Keith Law proposes the following solution. When a team puts a true rookie on
the active roster to start the year, and the player then reaches exactly six
years of service, that player gets a special one-year form of free agency in
which any team may make a single-season offer but his current team gets the
choice to match the high bid. Law posits that this approach would encourage
teams to go ahead and add their best prospects to the roster, comforted by the
knowledge that they can still maximize team control — even if it ultimately
comes at a (potentially much) higher cost in the final season.
This is an interesting idea but probably not one that clubs
would consider. Teams pay more for players in first year arbitration as opposed
to those that are eligible for arbitration due to being a Super Two and
therefore such a plan would cost the teams more money in year four through six.
But the real problem is that other teams would be willing to offer inflated
sums of money to such a player for the following reasons. They wouldn’t be
required to give up a draft pick, it’s only a one year contract for a player in
his prime and they’d receive a draft pick the next year if he goes to another
team as a free agent. If a player who signs a one year deal gets hurt it isn’t
potentially crippling like a six year deal that goes sour. This idea ultimately
is bad for small market teams and therefore simply wouldn’t be implemented.
I propose that a player that starts the season and is never
sent down to the majors after making it to the majors’ follows the following
pay schedule.
- His salary for his first three years in the majors will be set by the team provided that it’s at least as large as the minimum salary.
- His salary for his fourth year in the majors will be set by the team provided that it’s at least as large as four times the minimum salary. Players can’t be optioned after this point without their permission.
- The player will be eligible for arbitration for his fifth and sixth year in the majors like all other arbitration eligible players.
- The team will have the option to sign the player for his seventh year in the majors to the larger of the amount necessary for a qualifying offer or 50% larger than his previous years’ salary. If the team decides not to exercise this option they can still offer the player a qualifying option. If the player rejects the qualifying offer then he’ll become a free agent with all rights that belong to a free agent.
The teams would consider this pay
structure because it gives them a slight discount in year four because it’s
likely that the average salary for a super two player would be less than four
times the minimum salary and this would allow them to have star prospects start
the year in the majors without giving up a year of team control.
Players would consider this pay structure
because it would encourage teams to call up prospects at the start of a year
and would ensure that they either become free agents after six full years of
service or that they would at least receive a fair salary in their seventh year
of service. It would only be plausible to keep the best arbitration eligible
players in they were going to earn a minimum of the qualifying offer in the
seventh year.
I think that Keith Law had a good
idea about how to encourage teams to have top prospects start the roster in the
majors but that it was ultimately weighted too heavily in favor of the players.
This idea ensures that both players and teams receive some benefits and
therefore makes it more acceptable for both sides.
Seems the obvious thing to do for year four would be to make it a fraction of the QO. Maybe 15-20%.
ReplyDeleteThe minimum salary for 2015 is $507,500. Four times that is $2,030,000.
ReplyDeleteThe QO is $15,300,000. 15-20% of that is something like $2,300,000 to $3,060,000.
The 15% amount and my proposal are in the same ballpark. I don't think anything higher then that will work because you need the amount to be lower than what a player will receive as a Super Two. But something like 10-15% could work.
I think using the minimum salary makes more sense because that's more relevant to an arbitration eligible player than the QO but it doesn't really matter.
QO makes more sense because it ties it to the market as opposed to the somewhat arbitrary minimum salary.
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