Series Thoughts
Hitters during this series could be forgiven for not quite knowing where the strikezone was being located. Mark Wegner righted the ship on Thursday, but for the first two games, correct call rates were well below 90%, pitches outside of even the Tzone were being called strikes, and some absolutely grooved pitches over the plate were called balls. The first two games favored the Tigers on missed calls, while the third favored the Orioles significantly. The final Rzone tally was 28 calls in favor of the Orioles and 26 calls in favor of the Tigers.
On the bright side, the Orioles ran The Cavalry out and they won 2 out of 3 against the AL Central leading Tigers. On the down side, the starters only put up 15 IP and gave up 9 ER, 22 H, and 7 BB.
The Cavalry rides... again?
PITCHf/x Summary Data: https://docs.google.com/spreadsheet/ccc?key=0An-w9dFaRvtmdERyaVpYYU1PNWNaWUpkc21yYXNDM2c#gid=0
Game data after the jump.
June 17, 2013: Orioles - 1, Tigers - 5
Welcome back, Jake Arrieta. Unfortunately, your stay is likely to be a short one.
Here's what Arrieta did well: He only gave up 1 BB in 4.2 IP and he only threw 5 balls above the zone. While there was some horizontal movement in his release point, there is very little vertical variability, indicating that Arrieta had full control of his elbow and was not dropping it. This is important because dropping the elbow prevents the pitcher from getting on top of the ball and results in pitches up in the zone.
| Timmons, Tim | Real | % of Total |
% of Chances |
Typical | % of Total |
% of Chances |
|
| Correct Calls | 117 | 87.97% | 118 | 88.72% | |||
| Incorrect Calls | 16 | 12.03% | 15 | 11.28% | |||
| Balls Called Balls | 78 | 58.65% | 87.64% | 72 | 54.14% | 94.74% | |
| Strikes Called Strikes | 39 | 29.32% | 88.64% | 46 | 34.59% | 80.70% | |
| Strikes Called Balls | 5 | 3.76% | 11.36% | 11 | 8.27% | 19.30% | |
| Balls Called Strikes | 11 | 8.27% | 12.36% | 4 | 3.01% | 5.26% | |
| Borderline - Balls | 11 | 8.27% | 39.29% | ||||
| Borderline - Strikes | 17 | 12.78% | 60.71% | ||||
| Baltimore Orioles | Real | % of Team |
% of Chances |
Typical | % of Team |
% of Chances |
|
| Ball Called Ball | 33 | 61.11% | 91.67% | 30 | 55.56% | 93.75% | |
| Strike Called Strike | 17 | 31.48% | 94.44% | 18 | 33.33% | 81.82% | |
| Strike Called Ball | 1 | 1.85% | 5.56% | 4 | 7.41% | 18.18% | |
| Ball Called Strike | 3 | 5.56% | 8.33% | 2 | 3.70% | 6.25% | |
| Borderline Pitches | 25 | 21.55% | |||||
| Borderline - Balls | 5 | 41.67% | |||||
| Borderline - Strikes | 7 | 58.33% | |||||
| Calls in Favor | 7 | 5.26% | 9 | 6.77% | |||
| Calls Against | 9 | 6.77% | 6 | 4.51% | |||
| Detroit Tigers | Real | % of Team |
% of Chances |
Typical | % of Team |
% of Chances |
|
| Ball Called Ball | 45 | 56.96% | 84.91% | 42 | 53.16% | 95.45% | |
| Strike Called Strike | 22 | 27.85% | 84.62% | 28 | 35.44% | 80.00% | |
| Strike Called Ball | 4 | 5.06% | 15.38% | 7 | 8.86% | 20.00% | |
| Ball Called Strike | 8 | 10.13% | 15.09% | 2 | 2.53% | 4.55% | |
| Borderline Pitches | 31 | 17.12% | |||||
| Borderline - Balls | 6 | 37.50% | |||||
| Borderline - Strikes | 10 | 62.50% | |||||
| Calls in Favor | 9 | 6.77% | 6 | 4.51% | |||
| Calls Against | 7 | 5.26% | 9 | 6.77% |
June 18, 2013: Orioles - 5, Tigers - 2
Welcome back, Zach Britton. You've almost certainly earned a longer stay with the club.
Let's take a look at Britton's release point and compare it to Arrieta's above.
That's a very tight cluster and bodes well for Britton. Yes, he had more BB than Arrieta and yes, he threw more pitches up in the zone (9 above the zone). However, mechanical consistency means that his troubles were more likely the result of nibbling or not having a good feel for his pitches, rather than a mechanical issue. That's good, because it means that it's more likely that his next start will be better.
Similarly to Arrieta, Britton needs to increase the change in velocity from his fastball, which was sitting 91-92 and his changeup, which was about 85.
| Winters, Mike | Real | % of Total |
% of Chances |
Typical | % of Total |
% of Chances |
|
| Correct Calls | 140 | 86.96% | 132 | 81.99% | |||
| Incorrect Calls | 21 | 13.04% | 29 | 18.01% | |||
| Balls Called Balls | 102 | 63.35% | 87.93% | 85 | 52.80% | 94.44% | |
| Strikes Called Strikes | 38 | 23.60% | 84.44% | 47 | 29.19% | 66.20% | |
| Strikes Called Balls | 7 | 4.35% | 15.56% | 24 | 14.91% | 33.80% | |
| Balls Called Strikes | 14 | 8.70% | 12.07% | 5 | 3.11% | 5.56% | |
| Borderline - Balls | 25 | 15.53% | 64.10% | ||||
| Borderline - Strikes | 14 | 8.70% | 35.90% | ||||
| Baltimore Orioles | Real | % of Team |
% of Chances |
Typical | % of Team |
% of Chances |
|
| Ball Called Ball | 46 | 61.33% | 90.20% | 41 | 54.67% | 95.35% | |
| Strike Called Strike | 20 | 26.67% | 83.33% | 23 | 30.67% | 71.88% | |
| Strike Called Ball | 4 | 5.33% | 16.67% | 9 | 12.00% | 28.13% | |
| Ball Called Strike | 5 | 6.67% | 9.80% | 2 | 2.67% | 4.65% | |
| Borderline Pitches | 40 | 30.08% | |||||
| Borderline - Balls | 9 | 52.94% | |||||
| Borderline - Strikes | 8 | 47.06% | |||||
| Calls in Favor | 8 | 4.97% | 17 | 10.56% | |||
| Calls Against | 13 | 8.07% | 12 | 7.45% | |||
| Detroit Tigers | Real | % of Team |
% of Chances |
Typical | % of Team |
% of Chances |
|
| Ball Called Ball | 56 | 65.12% | 86.15% | 44 | 51.16% | 93.62% | |
| Strike Called Strike | 18 | 20.93% | 85.71% | 24 | 27.91% | 61.54% | |
| Strike Called Ball | 3 | 3.49% | 14.29% | 15 | 17.44% | 38.46% | |
| Ball Called Strike | 9 | 10.47% | 13.85% | 3 | 3.49% | 6.38% | |
| Borderline Pitches | 36 | 26.67% | |||||
| Borderline - Balls | 16 | 72.73% | |||||
| Borderline - Strikes | 6 | 27.27% | |||||
| Calls in Favor | 13 | 8.07% | 12 | 7.45% | |||
| Calls Against | 8 | 4.97% | 17 | 10.56% |
June 19, 2013: Orioles - 13, Tigers - 3
How did Tillman's release point look?
Tillman was dropping his elbow some, which is probably why he fell behind so many hitters and ran up his pitch count in a game where he should have had no problem saving the bullpen. I suspect that most of the issue was coming from trying to throw his curveball, which he threw 13 times for just 2 strikes. That's not typical for Tillman and when he can locate his curve, he's much more effective.
| Wegner, Mark | Real | % of Total |
% of Chances |
Typical | % of Total |
% of Chances |
|
| Correct Calls | 154 | 91.12% | 141 | 83.43% | |||
| Incorrect Calls | 15 | 8.88% | 28 | 16.57% | |||
| Balls Called Balls | 102 | 60.36% | 95.33% | 85 | 50.30% | 98.84% | |
| Strikes Called Strikes | 52 | 30.77% | 83.87% | 56 | 33.14% | 67.47% | |
| Strikes Called Balls | 10 | 5.92% | 16.13% | 27 | 15.98% | 32.53% | |
| Balls Called Strikes | 5 | 2.96% | 4.67% | 1 | 0.59% | 1.16% | |
| Borderline - Balls | 18 | 10.65% | 54.55% | ||||
| Borderline - Strikes | 15 | 8.88% | 45.45% | ||||
| Baltimore Orioles | Real | % of Team |
% of Chances |
Typical | % of Team |
% of Chances |
|
| Ball Called Ball | 52 | 63.41% | 92.86% | 48 | 58.54% | 97.96% | |
| Strike Called Strike | 23 | 28.05% | 88.46% | 26 | 31.71% | 78.79% | |
| Strike Called Ball | 3 | 3.66% | 11.54% | 7 | 8.54% | 21.21% | |
| Ball Called Strike | 4 | 4.88% | 7.14% | 1 | 1.22% | 2.04% | |
| Borderline Pitches | 32 | 20.25% | |||||
| Borderline - Balls | 6 | 46.15% | |||||
| Borderline - Strikes | 7 | 53.85% | |||||
| Calls in Favor | 11 | 6.51% | 21 | 12.43% | |||
| Calls Against | 4 | 2.37% | 7 | 4.14% | |||
| Detroit Tigers | Real | % of Team |
% of Chances |
Typical | % of Team |
% of Chances |
|
| Ball Called Ball | 50 | 57.47% | 98.04% | 37 | 42.53% | 100.00% | |
| Strike Called Strike | 29 | 33.33% | 80.56% | 30 | 34.48% | 60.00% | |
| Strike Called Ball | 7 | 8.05% | 19.44% | 20 | 22.99% | 40.00% | |
| Ball Called Strike | 1 | 1.15% | 1.96% | 0 | 0.00% | 0.00% | |
| Borderline Pitches | 37 | 19.39% | |||||
| Borderline - Balls | 12 | 60.00% | |||||
| Borderline - Strikes | 8 | 40.00% | |||||
| Calls in Favor | 4 | 2.37% | 7 | 4.14% | |||
| Calls Against | 11 | 6.51% | 21 | 12.43% |
No comments:
Post a Comment